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Red54
446813.4
598527.3
125517.1
Blue74
676818.0
29914.8
110232.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65694060801005474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#20
27.31.5
28.426.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End6.6
blue by 5.6
1102
#10
32.90.4
33.333.6
Auto3.6
Teleop23.2
End6.1
Second
1255
#50
17.11.5
18.617.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End6.1
blue by 0.9
6768
#21
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End7.0
Third
4468
#51
13.41.5
14.913.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.8
blue by 1.4
299
#41
14.80.4
14.414.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned