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Red68
742116.9
547222.9
580126.8
Blue60
325015.5
446813.4
205921.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67553040506080901006860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#19
26.80.3
28.028.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
red by 4.9
21.80.5
19.620.1
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End7.5
Second
5472
#57
22.90.3
21.722.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 7.4
3250
#31
15.50.5
17.117.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End5.4
Third
7421
#54
16.90.3
13.814.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End3.0
red by 3.5
4468
#51
13.40.5
15.516.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned