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Red30
680022.3
364624.5
29914.8
Blue101
297428.8
762026.3
543125.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678840608010012030101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3646
#16
24.52.2
25.022.8
Auto3.0
Teleop14.8
End6.7
blue by 4.3
28.81.2
30.832.0
Auto3.0
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Second
6800
#46
22.32.2
23.421.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.5
End0.9
blue by 4.0
7620
#13
26.31.2
26.127.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End6.8
Third
299
#41
14.82.2
14.712.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.4
blue by 10.6
5431
#15
25.31.2
26.127.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed56%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed87%HAB Docking oddsEarned