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Red77
141424.1
11428.9
593325.6
Blue59
244325.4
255123.2
766318.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757560657080857759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#22
28.90.4
26.426.0
Auto3.8
Teleop21.4
End3.6
red by 3.5
2443
#36
25.40.8
24.824.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.5
Second
5933
#12
25.60.4
24.023.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End8.1
red by 2.4
2551
#53
23.20.8
27.026.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Third
1414
#28
24.10.4
21.020.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.7
End5.1
red by 6.0
7663
#58
18.10.8
19.418.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed