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Red50
543125.3
29914.8
742417.4
Blue58
247834.5
744614.3
70116.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801005058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#15
25.30.6
27.326.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End6.1
blue by 9.2
34.50.5
34.434.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End8.1
Second
7424
#30
17.40.6
15.615.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End5.0
red by 1.0
701
#42
16.40.5
15.014.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Third
299
#41
14.80.6
13.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.4
red by 0.5
7446
#59
14.30.5
15.615.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned