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Red42
255123.2
746514.3
29914.8
Blue67
399821.3
740915.8
580126.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467203040506080904267

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#53
23.20.6
25.925.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End5.0
blue by 3.5
5801
#19
26.80.3
27.427.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Second
299
#41
14.80.6
13.713.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.4
blue by 6.6
3998
#23
21.30.3
19.719.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
Third
7465
#62
14.30.6
11.711.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 1.4
7409
#44
15.80.3
16.216.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsEarned