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Red73
49822.4
766318.1
110232.9
Blue77
153822.9
647924.9
17933.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778940601001207377

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#10
32.90.0
32.832.7
Auto3.6
Teleop23.2
End6.1
blue by 0.3
179
#3
33.20.9
33.832.9
Auto5.2
Teleop21.8
End6.2
Second
498
#43
22.40.0
22.322.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 2.5
6479
#29
24.90.9
25.424.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End6.5
Third
7663
#58
18.10.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.0
blue by 4.8
1538
#38
22.90.9
25.024.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsMissed50%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsMissed