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Red52
125517.1
59719.9
644415.1
Blue73
580126.8
297428.8
70116.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51792040601005273

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#61
19.90.3
18.218.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End2.1
blue by 8.9
28.80.1
30.330.2
Auto3.0
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Second
1255
#50
17.10.3
16.717.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End6.1
blue by 9.7
5801
#19
26.80.1
28.128.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Third
6444
#66
15.10.3
13.113.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 1.3
701
#42
16.40.1
16.216.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed37%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned