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Red75
724614.2
742116.9
446920.4
Blue87
11428.9
29914.8
153822.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5167204060801007587

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#40
20.41.8
21.022.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End3.9
blue by 8.5
114
#22
28.90.9
26.627.5
Auto3.8
Teleop21.4
End3.6
Second
7421
#54
16.91.8
14.816.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 6.0
1538
#38
22.90.9
24.125.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Third
7246
#64
14.21.8
12.214.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.1
blue by 0.5
299
#41
14.80.9
12.613.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed