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Red70
541428.9
70221.7
742417.4
Blue72
641820.5
762026.3
603616.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696540506080901007072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#11
28.90.3
26.426.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.8
End7.3
red by 2.7
7620
#13
26.30.5
27.127.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.2
End6.8
Second
702
#37
21.70.3
24.024.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 1.2
6418
#34
20.50.5
18.919.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
7424
#30
17.40.3
14.815.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End5.0
red by 1.3
6036
#56
16.20.5
15.716.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned