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Red88
110232.9
115619.1
246830.6
Blue67
348021.6
297428.8
740915.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857340506080901001108867

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#10
32.90.3
32.733.0
Auto3.6
Teleop23.2
End6.1
red by 4.1
28.80.3
30.229.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Second
2468
#17
30.60.3
30.731.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End7.4
red by 9.0
3480
#32
21.60.3
21.421.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.5
End4.6
Third
1156
#39
19.10.3
17.117.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.1
End3.1
red by 3.3
7409
#44
15.80.3
17.617.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsEarned29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed