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Red45
547222.9
740915.8
446813.4
Blue59
70116.4
777317.6
441431.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607440801004559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#57
22.91.2
23.522.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 8.2
4414
#14
31.10.7
34.133.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
Second
7409
#44
15.81.2
17.216.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 1.9
7773
#25
17.60.7
19.318.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End3.9
Third
4468
#51
13.41.2
16.114.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.8
blue by 3.0
701
#42
16.40.7
16.615.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned