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Red80
543125.3
617712.9
255123.2
Blue78
244325.4
638618.6
246830.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69792040601008078

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#15
25.30.1
27.727.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End6.1
blue by 5.3
2468
#17
30.60.2
31.030.8
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End7.4
Second
2551
#53
23.20.1
23.623.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End5.0
blue by 2.2
2443
#36
25.40.2
25.225.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.5
Third
6177
#65
12.90.1
14.114.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 5.6
6386
#26
18.60.2
19.018.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsEarned