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Red78
168429.8
521633.5
99963.9
Blue73
675327.5
377023.8
99868.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706102040801001201407873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
33.433.6
Auto5.0
Teleop19.5
End9.0
red by 6.1
27.50.3
26.827.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Second
29.80.2
29.629.8
Auto3.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
red by 6.0
23.80.3
23.223.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Third
9996
#22
3.90.2
3.83.9
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 4.5
9986
#23
8.50.3
7.98.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8