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Red59
675327.5
377023.8
99868.5
Blue59
504622.1
999320.5
522914.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556201001502002505959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.3
25.024.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.6
red by 5.4
5046
#13
22.10.0
22.422.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.2
End5.5
Second
23.80.3
21.321.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 3.3
9993
#10
20.50.0
20.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.0
Third
9986
#23
8.50.3
6.05.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8
blue by 6.3
5229
#16
14.80.0
15.115.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End1.8