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Red53
998710.9
675327.5
542419.1
Blue48
481917.0
560315.8
261918.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556001002003004005348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
25.325.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.6
red by 8.5
2619
#24
18.90.6
21.320.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End3.2
Second
19.10.1
19.920.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 2.1
4819
#21
17.00.6
19.719.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.7
Third
10.90.1
6.76.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.4
blue by 4.9
5603
#19
15.80.6
15.715.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed