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Red46
522914.8
261918.9
525711.7
Blue73
675327.5
99868.5
377023.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535601001502002503004673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#24
18.90.3
20.820.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End3.2
blue by 8.5
27.51.3
25.426.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Second
5229
#16
14.80.3
17.417.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 9.0
23.81.3
21.522.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Third
5257
#18
11.70.3
12.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 3.2
9986
#23
8.51.6
6.37.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned