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Red54
516619.4
525711.7
522419.5
Blue84
521633.5
998710.9
560315.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585601001505484

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.1
21.020.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.3
End7.3
blue by 14.0
33.52.1
29.431.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.5
End9.0
Second
5166
#20
19.40.1
21.621.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End5.3
red by 3.6
5603
#19
15.82.1
14.716.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Third
5257
#18
11.70.1
12.712.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 0.8
10.92.1
8.510.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsEarned