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Red15
99963.9
99868.5
619318.9
Blue57
542419.1
70318.8
710910.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365301001502001557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#11
18.91.3
20.819.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 0.2
19.10.4
20.119.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Second
9986
#23
8.51.3
8.26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8
blue by 10.3
703
#8
18.80.4
19.118.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End4.6
Third
9996
#22
3.91.3
5.13.8
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 6.5
7109
#14
10.50.4
11.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsMissed