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Red48
560315.8
525711.7
999320.5
Blue16
439012.7
99963.9
550917.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543801001502004816

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9993
#10
20.50.9
21.720.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.0
red by 2.6
5509
#17
17.91.3
18.016.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Second
5603
#19
15.80.9
16.715.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.0
red by 3.1
4390
#12
12.71.3
14.112.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
5257
#18
11.70.9
12.711.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 7.7
9996
#22
3.91.3
3.82.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed