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Red69
571221.6
542419.1
522914.8
Blue17
619318.9
710910.5
525711.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64512040801006917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.6
21.522.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End6.7
red by 2.8
6193
#11
18.92.1
23.821.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
Second
19.10.6
23.023.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 7.4
5257
#18
11.72.1
13.511.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Third
5229
#16
14.80.6
15.916.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 4.3
7109
#14
10.52.1
10.98.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed