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Red50
168429.8
550917.9
710910.5
Blue58
525711.7
377023.8
70318.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605302040801001201401605058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
27.527.1
Auto3.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
red by 6.0
23.80.5
21.021.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Second
5509
#17
17.90.5
19.519.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End5.6
blue by 0.9
703
#8
18.80.5
18.218.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End4.6
Third
7109
#14
10.50.5
10.09.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.8
blue by 1.2
5257
#18
11.70.5
11.512.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned