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Red58
542419.1
571221.6
525711.7
Blue55
675327.5
377023.8
99868.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575645505560655855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.1
22.022.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End6.7
blue by 5.8
27.50.0
25.325.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Second
19.10.1
19.519.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
blue by 4.7
23.80.0
21.621.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End5.3
Third
5257
#18
11.70.1
12.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 3.2
9986
#23
8.50.0
6.36.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End2.8