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Red37
244112.0
209011.6
425323.8
Blue6
24397.4
763111.3
75489.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350206080100120376

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.6
19.518.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.1
red by 12.6
7631
#22
11.34.2
11.37.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Second
2441
#31
12.01.1
10.79.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
red by 2.2
7548
#15
9.82.8
9.87.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Third
2090
#27
11.61.1
13.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 4.3
2439
#34DQ
7.43.0
13.110.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed