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Red59
24397.4
425323.8
388219.7
Blue35
246514.2
57019.5
244417.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340102030406070805935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.0
19.920.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.1
red by 6.1
17.70.2
11.411.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End5.4
Second
3882
#10
19.71.0
14.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 5.5
2465
#20
14.20.3
10.410.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Third
2439
#34DQ
7.41.6
9.511.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
5701
#32
9.50.3
10.410.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed