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Red45
244417.7
38006.8
427020.1
Blue20
24459.7
25046.6
670411.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3935203050604520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.6
15.115.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End4.8
red by 9.2
6704
#29
11.01.7
10.89.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Second
17.70.5
11.612.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End5.4
red by 8.0
2445
#18
9.71.7
12.610.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End3.8
Third
3800
#30
6.80.9
10.111.0
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
red by 0.2
2504
#23
6.61.7
9.47.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed