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Red30
285317.6
57019.5
209011.6
Blue40
243712.5
749714.0
244324.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060801003040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.4
16.315.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
blue by 7.2
24.80.2
19.919.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.8
Second
2090
#27
11.60.7
9.08.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 2.4
7497
#26
14.00.4
10.710.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.6
Third
5701
#32
9.50.7
10.710.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 3.0
2437
#14
12.50.2
13.012.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed