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Red79
244324.8
425323.8
244112.0
Blue63
388219.7
772421.1
289615.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6359203040507080907963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.4
24.625.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.8
red by 3.7
21.10.2
20.921.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
23.80.4
23.624.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.1
red by 4.1
3882
#10
19.70.2
19.619.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
2441
#31
12.00.4
11.812.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End2.7
blue by 3.2
2896
#17
15.20.2
15.015.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End4.1