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Red63
131125.7
361620.4
64138.2
Blue70
491031.4
449926.9
244111.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56722040801006370

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#29
25.70.0
25.025.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.5
End1.8
blue by 5.8
31.40.1
31.731.8
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End9.0
Second
3616
#20
20.40.0
20.720.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End5.3
blue by 6.5
4499
#23
26.90.1
25.325.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Third
6413
#64
8.20.0
7.27.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 3.2
2441
#60
11.30.1
11.111.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned