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Red47
83221.2
588712.1
402031.1
Blue77
419221.3
212233.0
778714.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73714060801004777

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#19
31.11.5
32.831.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.7
blue by 1.9
33.00.3
32.131.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.2
End7.2
Second
832
#57
21.21.5
22.721.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.7
Level
4192
#55
21.30.3
19.919.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Third
5887
#40
12.11.5
13.612.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 2.4
7787
#54
14.60.3
14.914.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsMissed