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Red79
363525.0
406322.2
648528.5
Blue100
347626.1
131125.7
373522.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7974405060709010011079100

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6485
#37
28.50.3
28.128.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.6
red by 2.4
3476
#14
26.11.8
25.527.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
3635
#36
25.00.3
24.725.0
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End4.5
blue by 0.7
1311
#29
25.71.8
25.026.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Third
4063
#21
22.20.3
22.122.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End8.3
blue by 0.2
3735
#30
22.41.8
19.921.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed31%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed