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Red83
570020.5
408720.8
580330.5
Blue65
263715.2
419221.3
373522.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76592040801008365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.1
30.930.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End8.4
red by 8.0
3735
#30
22.40.6
21.722.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End4.7
Second
20.80.1
20.620.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
blue by 0.4
4192
#55
21.30.6
19.620.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End6.5
Third
5700
#31
20.50.1
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End3.4
red by 5.2
2637
#61
15.20.6
14.615.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsEarned