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Red74
297626.0
382420.4
418326.2
Blue63
69120.6
745121.4
263715.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72562040801007463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#11
26.20.4
26.927.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End9.6
red by 4.8
7451
#28
21.40.3
22.022.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End5.2
Second
2976
#15
26.00.4
21.221.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End3.6
red by 5.4
691
#46
20.60.3
15.916.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Third
20.40.4
20.220.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End4.2
red by 5.2
2637
#61
15.20.3
15.315.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed