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Red68
383413.6
491031.4
683816.9
Blue53
502220.3
5931.2
271423.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647640801006853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.3
31.431.7
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End9.0
red by 0.2
59
#16
31.21.3
28.327.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.4
End6.3
Second
6838
#52
16.90.3
17.217.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 6.8
2714
#22
23.71.3
23.222.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End4.0
Third
3834
#39
13.60.3
11.912.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End4.3
blue by 6.7
5022
#62
20.31.3
20.319.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed