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Red65
189911.5
212233.0
235716.3
Blue83
418326.2
299222.6
501320.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637640801006583

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.3
29.529.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.2
End7.2
red by 6.8
4183
#11
26.20.5
27.326.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End9.6
Second
2357
#59
16.30.3
16.316.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 6.3
2992
#43
22.60.5
24.724.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
1899
#63
11.50.3
14.014.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 8.7
5013
#56
20.20.5
19.719.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned