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Red65
167123.6
408720.8
449926.9
Blue53
743324.1
742719.1
570020.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65623040507080906553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#23
26.90.2
24.224.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 2.8
7433
#26
24.10.6
24.323.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End8.8
Second
1671
#18
23.60.2
20.620.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End8.8
red by 3.2
5700
#31
20.50.6
18.918.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Third
20.80.2
16.917.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
red by 1.7
7427
#33
19.10.6
15.414.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsEarned