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Red70
401317.0
402031.1
64138.2
Blue90
744719.2
418326.2
570020.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5468203040506080901007090

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#19
31.11.2
32.834.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.7
red by 4.9
4183
#11
26.21.1
25.826.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End9.6
Second
4013
#53
17.01.2
14.415.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End3.6
blue by 3.5
5700
#31
20.51.1
18.319.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Third
6413
#64
8.21.2
4.25.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 11.0
7447
#38
19.21.1
19.821.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned