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Red65
198725.4
142523.2
107216.8
Blue75
449926.9
406322.2
147723.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67733040506080901001106575

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#45
25.40.3
22.322.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End6.3
blue by 1.5
4499
#23
26.90.3
24.424.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Second
1425
#12
23.20.3
23.222.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 0.3
23.00.3
22.322.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End8.1
Third
1072
#65
16.80.3
18.418.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 5.4
4063
#21
22.20.3
22.022.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned