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Red44
74425.4
271423.7
263715.2
Blue56
299222.6
76359.0
449926.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66602040801004456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#5
25.41.2
22.120.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 1.5
4499
#23
26.90.4
24.724.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Second
2714
#22
23.71.2
24.423.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.1
End4.0
red by 1.1
2992
#43
22.60.4
23.723.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End7.4
Third
2637
#61
15.21.2
15.914.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End3.2
red by 6.2
7635
#50
9.00.4
8.27.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed