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Red56
142523.2
698817.0
5931.2
Blue86
167123.6
501320.2
243821.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7464304050607080901001105686

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#16
31.20.9
29.528.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.4
End6.3
red by 7.6
1671
#18
23.61.1
22.723.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End8.8
Second
1425
#12
23.20.9
21.920.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 1.6
2438
#17
21.61.1
19.720.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Third
6988
#44
17.00.9
18.817.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 3.2
5013
#56
20.21.1
18.619.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned