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Red55
320619.4
645517.5
162519.9
Blue57
392828.3
90417.3
730912.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465010203040607080905557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#24
19.91.0
16.917.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 8.4
28.31.1
21.422.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Second
19.41.0
13.914.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.1
red by 2.1
904
#25
17.31.1
13.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
6455
#41
17.51.0
12.513.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End4.3
red by 5.4
7309
#23
12.11.1
12.713.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsEarned