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Red41
90417.3
593518.0
63795.8
Blue38
253815.9
714213.3
504113.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035203050604138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.3
15.815.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End6.2
red by 2.1
2538
#39
15.90.5
10.511.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Second
904
#25
17.30.3
14.514.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
red by 3.7
5041
#43
13.60.5
11.912.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
6379
#48
5.80.3
7.27.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 7.5
7142
#36
13.30.5
11.011.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed