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Red30
198516.1
590613.4
631716.8
Blue57
688912.7
453620.0
639122.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45512030406070803057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#26
16.81.4
17.315.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 5.6
6391
#11
22.40.6
19.520.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
1985
#31
16.10.8
13.212.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End4.8
blue by 3.9
4536
#28
20.01.0
18.519.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Third
5906
#40
13.41.4
11.810.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.5
red by 0.7
6889
#35
12.71.0
10.011.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed