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Red59
702124.2
583714.5
64812.3
Blue69
253815.9
616612.3
96727.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53492030406070805969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
22.422.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End8.6
blue by 3.1
967
#7
27.32.3
22.024.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End5.5
Second
5837
#33
14.50.1
14.614.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 1.4
2538
#39
15.92.3
12.314.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Third
648
#46
12.30.1
13.613.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Level
6166
#47
12.32.3
12.014.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed