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Red28
504113.6
61649.6
453620.0
Blue56
17112.0
335217.1
591416.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514620304060702856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#28
20.01.8
21.820.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 2.9
3352
#30
17.10.6
16.617.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Second
5041
#43
13.61.8
15.413.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 2.4
5914
#17
16.00.6
16.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
6164
#32
9.61.8
11.59.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.1
End2.8
blue by 2.3
171
#27
12.00.6
11.111.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed