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Red47
264314.9
775413.7
314515.2
Blue64
189119.4
198334.4
379417.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415720801004764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#20
15.20.2
13.213.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
blue by 19.2
34.40.7
28.429.0
Auto6.0
Teleop18.6
End9.8
Second
2643
#10
14.90.1
11.711.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
blue by 4.5
1891
#15
19.40.8
14.615.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End3.9
Third
7754
#17
13.70.2
14.414.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.2
blue by 3.4
3794
#12
17.10.7
11.111.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsEarned