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Red70
116021.5
364733.6
469826.8
Blue42
587112.9
314515.2
35629.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74432060801007042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.0
28.428.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.6
End3.0
red by 18.4
3145
#20
15.20.2
13.814.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
Second
4698
#14
26.80.0
21.221.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.2
red by 13.8
5871
#25
12.90.1
15.115.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
1160
#16
21.50.0
20.620.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End2.9
red by 11.7
3562
#26
9.80.2
11.511.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned