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Red68
156919.6
213021.8
501222.0
Blue66
635820.0
469826.8
546115.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5660405070806866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.8
18.319.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
blue by 4.8
4698
#14
26.80.6
21.221.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.2
Second
21.81.3
18.519.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
red by 1.8
6358
#11
20.00.6
21.522.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End2.9
Third
1569
#13
19.61.3
16.517.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
red by 3.7
5461
#19
15.90.6
14.214.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed