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Red78
417523.1
364733.6
730115.4
Blue58
379417.1
156612.4
314515.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644220801007858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.1
30.431.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.6
End3.0
red by 16.5
3794
#12
17.10.8
14.915.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Second
23.11.9
18.620.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End5.0
red by 8.0
3145
#20
15.21.4
11.913.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
Third
7301
#22
15.41.9
11.813.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.5
red by 3.1
1566
#24
12.41.4
12.714.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned