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Red11
546115.9
668014.2
156612.4
Blue38
213021.8
35629.8
162220.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#19
15.92.1
14.512.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End5.3
blue by 5.8
21.81.0
15.414.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
Second
6680
#21
14.22.9
11.08.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End3.4
blue by 6.2
1622
#18
20.40.6
19.719.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
1566
#24
12.42.9
11.48.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 2.6
3562
#26
9.81.0
12.011.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed